Who is the mastermind behind the instability and current assassinations in Ethiopia?

Date June 24, 2019

By Ermias Hailu

Egypt Reaction to the Construction of Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD)

It is a well-established fact that Egypt has been “the behind the curtain” organizer, financer, and leader of the instabilities Ethiopia has been experiencing over the last nine years. Same is also true on the current instabilities of Sudan where Egypt and its “de facto colony Eretria” are jointly working to put their puppet government in Sudan and destroy the Ethiopia-Sudan alliance established by the late PM Meles and President Omar al-Basher.

The Egyptians developed and are implementing   a “Grand Ethiopian Destabilization Strategy” after a careful study and analysis of the internal weaknesses of Ethiopia, such as the fluid nature of EPRDF, growing dissatisfaction of the Ethiopian people on EPRDF governance, historic and current rivalry within different ethnic and religious groups, weaknesses of the current federal structure and poverty. Egypt’s destabilization strategy has been implemented by involving various foot soldiers such as President Isaias of Eritrea, Dr. Berhanu Nega of Ginbot 7, Ato Daud Ibsa of OLF and so many underground agents with full involvement of various media outlets such as ESAT, OMN and  BNN. The Egyptian intelligence has recruited many Ethiopian agents sold out for money and their political ambitions and these agents are working 24/7 hand in hand with Egypt and Eritrea in spying and destabilization of Ethiopia and political groups which Egypt and Eritrea see as a threat to their interests on Ethiopia.

The central focus of Egypt’s destabilization strategy has been to weaken EPRDF by eliminating its leadership and dividing the Ethiopian people by demonizing the TPLF and the Tigrayan people which they have been able to implement it effectively.

The destabilization strategy of Egypt has the following goals:

  • Weaken the EPRDF government and install Egypt friendly government in Ethiopia that that will sign a binding water share agreement that protects so called “historical share “of Egypt (an agreement between Sudan and Egypt in 1959 allocated 78% of the Nile water by volume to Egypt). If this goal is achieved, Egypt will allow the completion of GERD as it will benefit Egypt as “free of charge” reservoir.
  • In case Egypt fails to install a friendly government, it will continue to destabilize and weaken Ethiopia including its defense force and destroy the GERD prior to its completion.

Where does Egypt stand regarding realization of its goals?

  • Ethiopia is currently a destabilized and cash starved country with a new inexperienced and divided EPRDF leadership that is highly vulnerable to foreign manipulation.
  • However, even though Egypt has a very high hope that the new Ethiopian PM Dr. Abiy will be easily manipulated to sign a water share agreement that benefits Egypt, it could not succeed so far.
  • Over the last one year, Egypt has tried to pressurize PM Abiy to put the verbal commitment he gave to President  Sisi in Cairo on July 11, 2018 in a binding agreement(At that time PM Abiy was coerced  by Sisi  during their joint press conference and said “We will take care of the Nile and we will preserve your share and we will work to increase this quota and President Sisi and I will work on this.”  )
  • Egypt is currently showing frustration on its inability to get a written water share agreement from PM Abiy and Egypt is continuing to destabilize Ethiopia using its foot soldiers and agents who are already in Ethiopia

When Egypt, the de facto colonizer of Eritrea, authorized President Isaias to make peace with Ethiopia and direct all so called “Ethiopian freedom fighters” that were stationed in Eritrea to enter Ethiopia, the following were the possible reasons:

  • Egypt and Eritrea may have believed that opening of borders between Eritrea and Tigray will enable them to continue their assault on TPLF, which will further weaken the EPRDF so that they can install their puppet government in Ethiopia without any hinderance.
  • The participation of the various agents of Egypt and Eritrea in the Ethiopian political process will pressurize the EPRDF to concede for Egypt and Eritrea. If that could not materialize, Egypt and Eritrea will destroy EPRDF and install their own puppet government.

Thanks to the bravery of the people of Tigray and the unified leadership of TPLF, Eritrea was the one that was forced to reclose its borders and TPLF came out victorious, strong and unified to save the mother Ethiopia.

The latest Assassinations of Ethiopian Officials

Egypt and Eritrea have found a fertile ground in the Amhara and Oromia states and they have been also successful to plant their agents in the EPRDF government which could do their dirty job at a time of their choice. The latest assassination of Amhara government officials and the Chief of Staff are part and parcel of Egypt’s strategy to destabilize Ethiopia as masterminded by Eritrea.

  • Why Egypt and Eritrea planted their killer agents as a body guard of the Chief of Staff General Seare and assassinated him?
    • He is the most respected and trusted General that was the right hand to the PM Abiy working hard to stabilize Ethiopia
    • Revenge by President Isaias as he was the prominent military leader that lead the Ethiopia- Eritrea war between 1998-2000 that humiliated President Isaias.
    • To destabilize the Ethiopian Military and making it unable to defend the country from foreign threats and enforce law and order.
  • Reasons for the conflict within the Amhara Democratic Party (ADP) leadership.

Connecting the various dots from General Asaminew Tisge’s, various actions and speeches, after he became the Chief of the Amhara Region Security forces, it is most likely that he was a direct or indirect agent of Egypt and Eritrea that was being used to instigate civil war between the people of Amhara and Tigray, with the objective of destabilizing Ethiopia and dismantling the TPLF. Recently, he was also making speeches that reflect rebellion and contempt to the Federal government.

After the various meetings conducted recently within EPRDF and the Amhara Democratic Party, it was decided to reinstate peace and stability in the Amhara state and open the road to Tigray and it looks General Asaminew Tisge, was trying to resist that and that could be the main reason for his conflict with Dr. Ambachew.   General Asaminew made a preemptive attack, prior to being sucked from his position, even though his objectives are not clear.

  • In my view the assassinations in ADP leadership in Bahr Dar and the assassination of the chief of Staff are not directly related, as it is very clear that the assassination of the Chief Staff was preplanned and waiting for the right cover-up. However, what makes both related is that they are part of Egypt/Eritrea strategy to destabilize Ethiopia.

The immediate clear and present dangers of Ethiopia and EPRDF:

  • Egypt and Eretria have active and dormant Ethiopian armed agents(cells) who are well positioned within Ethiopia and the EPRDF government that could be used to destabilize Ethiopia and EPRDF at the time of their choice and place
  • Eritrea has been able to smuggle hundreds, perhaps thousands of its armed intelligence personnel to Ethiopia
  • Various weapons have been smuggled to Ethiopia and so many people are armed
  • Civil war (ethnic and/or religious) could erupt any time soon and the country could be ungovernable
  • Armed branch of OLF and various Shiftas in the Amhara region could be the ones that could trigger civil war.

Recommendation to EPRDF:

  • Strengthen the EPRDF specially by resolving issues with TPLF
  • Reorganize and strengthen the civil and military intelligence
  • Root out Egypt/Eritrea agents within the EPRDF and Government (Intelligence and Military)
  • Root out Eritrean spies already in Ethiopia
  • Closely monitor all individuals and groups that came from Egypt and Eritrea
  • Closely monitor all companies/embassies associated with Egypt and Eritrea
  • Open roads to Tigray through Amhara and diffuse tensions at the borders
  • Organize unity conferences in the different parts of the country where all ethnic groups will meet and discuss issues and forge unity
  • Expose and escalate Egypt and Eritrea destabilizing actions to the African Union, United Nations and the superpowers
  • Closely monitor the flight between Addis Ababa and Asmara

God Bless Mother Ethiopia!

6 COMMENTS

  1. What a piece of nonsense you have spent so long to right about it. First of all the DAM is not finished due to resource mismanagement by the same group are proposing to safeguard Ethiopian interests. The used it as eternall non ending project the country and it’s citizens. It looks they never wanted that project to end. By the way did their development trust fund even put a dime in the project from it’s coffers or it was absolutely a beneficiary of the project?. Secondly the group down fall from the political domination is their own fault on delivering freedom and justice. And is a matter of time that this will also happen in their own region not matter what repressive or fear mongering tactics they use. Is political and social science outcome. On regards to water share to Egypt, I do think Ethiopian have the ethical and moral obligation to share waters with down stream countries. Even God forbides to go against it. The only difference is how much to share. Ethiopia has its own needs for power and irrigation to feed it’s people while Egypt has its own needs that have been depending on more in recent decades due to intense farming. The only solution for the sharing issue is to continually in both Ethiopian and Egypt implement water efficiency programs to reduce dependency and also continually renegotiate water share every year according to needs. No human life Ethiopian or Egyptian is better than other and the water belongs to both and Sudan’s people as God given to them. The three countries should have a permanent supervising committee for water share and enforcement. That will be a point for also joining the three people’s as well. The three countries should be worried more about the river sustainability rather than a dispute for permanent and fixed share. Global warming and large developmental projects dependent on heavy water usage are the big problems they should focus on.

  2. For the record for completeness of my previous post I do agree with you that Egypt government or non government institutions use agents to influence and get Ethiopian part to keep the non binding colonial time share. Every country does these kinds of soft lobbying or hard intervention to prevail what they perceive is their interest. Is up to us Ethiopians to do what is right as sovereign country. But you painting the lTPLF as lone safeguarding entity of that interest for Ethiopians is what is not credible. This organization that you stated is against the colonial share agreement is the same organization that willfully accepted the colonial boundaries that left Ethiopian land locked even though countless of our ancestors fought for freeing Eritrea from forgiven Invaders for centuries. Is the same organization that left current Ethiopian in ethnic regions exactly like the Italians did plan to divide the country when they invaded it. I do find your article a minimum opportunistic and deceiving.

  3. Egypt has its own interests to pursue in Ethiopia and the regions. However the writer of th piece has not presented any concrete and hard evidence that implicates Eritrea and Egypt in the current instability in Ethiopia. He is just recycling the same propaganda the TPLF government used when it faced uprisings and its rule was coming to an end. The TPLF leaders blamed Egypt and Eritrea for destabilizing its rule in Ethiopia.
    The TPLF itself had been backed by Egypt to seize power in Ethiopia. With regime change in Sudan the TPLF faces total isolation and marginalization in the region. Its policy of swapping Ethiopian lands for Sudanese facour and support have failed.

  4. Erimian Hailu Fool, let me tell you Ethiopia is not blessed because, Ethiopia has millions of SHINFLA, FANDYA and poison spreaders quenty eaters of TIGRAI with their toxic brain like you!!!!

    Your lousy article reminds me of the saying that ” chew tafit alebelzia dingay new blw yitluhal” loosely translated to “salt be tasty otherwise we will throw you as a stone” ,,that is what Eritrea done to you and your ilks!!!

    Fact 1
    We have drilled Eritrea to your brain and we f**ed your brain so much, you can not differentiate day and night thus instead of seeking appropriate solution to bring peace you keep barking at Eritrea, it is amazing how you can anyone not learn from history is, bewildering and the good taste of it for us is, we see you close to distigration and the dissolution of Ethiopia is around the corners!!! I say kudos to that simply because you don’t get it if so be it let Ethiopia burn in HELL!!! after all you have always wished us HELL and like wise we in kind wish you same thing, amazingly by grace of god we prevailed while your Ethiopia is sinking!!!

    I wish and it will be effectual, you will be next to somalia with 4 mini states at the mercy of Eritrea!!!
    I pray to god for Ethiopia to be disintegrated into smitherrings but hey why pray when you’re already halfway to destroy yourselves bu the good thing is, the Horn will be at ease!!!

    I can categorically say that the writer is an AGAME, who dwell s by creating confusion by making a clash between A and B no wonder the Horn knows as a POISON SPREADERS!!!

    Now go on make it perfect like your proverbs proves it “eyebduwat tanqelafalech” ahile your brain f**d up mouthgin of Eritrea you are not noticing but you’re sinking keep on bad mouthing Eritrea an that won’t be a solution!!!!!

    The day Ethiopia disappears for the face of Earth, it will be my birth day!!!

  5. Comment
    There are many contradictory news about the current political turmoil of Ethiopia.regarding the assassination of General Tseare and his friend and the latest one is that this friend of the general was drunken and tried to kill the general and the body guard shot him.The other news is that the general refused to intervene in the dismantling of the Amhara strong special forces by Abiy that is reorganized by general Asamnew and Abiy squad assassinated him. Here the writer concludes that Egypt the arch historical enemy of Ethiopia due to her life line Nile organized the murder.Same conflicting news comes about the killing in Bahrdar. Some say Asamnew was defending his special force and defend himself from the encircling federal forces of Abiy and others the government media and supporters that Asamnew was organizing the assassination of Dr Ambachew and his friends.Let us ask basic questions why Abiy was upset and afraid of Amhara special force and discourage its organizing while he never says any thing about the Oromo special force? Why Abiy is very sad on Eskinder peaceful opposition while J waris doing
    violence inciting activities even interfering in government decisions? Why Asamnew who praise Abiy as the Moses of Ethiopia turned to be against the close allies of Abiy? Why the news about the body guard of genral Tsare twisted many times committed suicide ,died and alive after shot.All these conspiracy news will be verified in due times and I expect the same calculated drama has been done by the new OPDO led EPRDF like the old EPRDF led by TPLF. May be the change of the news about the soldiers who came to the palace first mentioned as request of benefit changed in to plotting.

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